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What is the difference: probable or verŝajne

Alkanadi,2014年9月15日の

メッセージ: 34

言語: English

EldanarLambetur (プロフィールを表示) 2014年9月17日 10:38:08

sudanglo:Isn't it a bit illogical to say that something is pli vera or malpli vera?
True! But I think it's logical to say that some thing is more "true-seeming" than another thing. There are degrees of "seeming" (ŝajni) according to how much evidence is present for the truth.

Altebrilas (プロフィールを表示) 2014年9月17日 19:30:57

sudanglo:... I wonder why you should think it undesirable that there should be differences in register in Esperanto.
It is desirable to be able to evoke registers of different social classes, e.g. in a novel, but it is also desirable that esperantists do not use them to communicate with eachother
...

Isn't it a bit illogical to say that something is pli vera or malpli vera?
For instance pi=3.1416 is "pli vera ol" pi=3.14

EldanarLambetur (プロフィールを表示) 2014年9月17日 20:22:50

Altebrilas:For instance pi=3.1416 is "pli vera ol" pi=3.14
Though here both are false; they are approximations. I wouldn't say you could have degrees of true like that.

Citronujo (プロフィールを表示) 2014年9月17日 21:13:49

Yet it's a common way by which Mathematicians/physicists are writing : They are approaching the "truth" more closely by adding numbers after the decimal point (or "decreasing the error")

For example :
"With better equipment and more care we can narrow the range of scatter, and therefore improve our estimates of average values, confident that we are approaching "true" values more and more closely."
https://www.lhup.edu/~dsimanek/scenario/errorman/m...

Rugxdoma (プロフィールを表示) 2014年9月17日 23:38:37

Citronujo:Yet it's a common way by which Mathematicians/physicists are writing : They are approaching the "truth" more closely by adding numbers after the decimal point (or "decreasing the error")

For example :
"With better equipment and more care we can narrow the range of scatter, and therefore improve our estimates of average values, confident that we are approaching "true" values more and more closely."
https://www.lhup.edu/~dsimanek/scenario/errorman/m...
Yes, it is the closeness that has degrees, not the truth. And the sxajneco may have degrees even when the vero doesn't.

sudanglo (プロフィールを表示) 2014年9月18日 8:56:48

There are degrees of "seeming" (ŝajni) according to how much evidence is present for the truth.
So Eldanar, doesn't this then confirm my original suggestion about the difference between probable and verŝajne -ie that verŝajne trails with it the idea of evidence.

Verŝajne - it looks like, it is reasonable to suppose from the circumstances.

Probable is concerned with chance (more or less likely) not necessarily based on evidence (other than statistical). It is more speculative.

Statistics from the Tekstaro are not likely to be so helpful here since the use of 'probable' is relatively recent, occurring only in more modern texts, and it is possible that verŝajne was originally made to double up in its meaning extending to cover what is just probable or has a certain chance.

Probable mi estos ĉi tie ankaŭ morgaŭ (there's a good chance)

Verŝajne mi estos ĉi tie ankaŭ morgaŭ (this is closer to apparently)

Edit: the first occurrence of probable in the Tekstaro is in 1978 (John Wells) and seems to me to be very much in the spirit of a speculation.

...estas universale tre probable, ke la indikilo de la pluralo staras inter la radikalo kaj la indikilo de la akuzativo

Altebrilas (プロフィールを表示) 2014年9月18日 9:24:40

EldanarLambetur:
Altebrilas:For instance pi=3.1416 is "pli vera ol" pi=3.14
Though here both are false; they are approximations. I wouldn't say you could have degrees of true like that.
Probably nobody knows the absolute truth, except God, for believers. So in everyday life "pli vera" means "closer to the truth".

Altebrilas (プロフィールを表示) 2014年9月18日 9:29:37

About verŝajne/probable a test may be to answer one of these two questions:
- Kio estas verŝajna, sed ne probabla ?
- Kio estas probabla , sed ne verŝajna ?

EldanarLambetur (プロフィールを表示) 2014年9月18日 9:30:55

sudanglo:So Eldanar, doesn't this then confirm my original suggestion about the difference between probable and verŝajne -ie that verŝajne trails with it the idea of evidence.
It certainly seems that way!

Citronujo (プロフィールを表示) 2014年9月18日 10:22:23

Rugxdoma:Yes, it is the closeness that has degrees, not the truth. And the sxajneco may have degrees even when the vero doesn't.
Okay, I agree. Probably it is easier for people in everyday to say "it's more true than that one" than "its closeness to the truth is bigger than that one's". ridulo.gif

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